Detailed Breakdown:
As the Eastern Conference semifinals tip off tonight, the Boston Celtics and New York Knicks renew a rivalry that hasn’t seen postseason action since Jason Tatum and Jalen Brunson were still teenagers in high school. Now, they lead two of the NBA’s most iconic franchises into what promises to be a fiery, high-stakes series.
According to ESPN BET Sportsbook, the Celtics are heavy favorites, with a staggering 90% chance to advance. That lopsided prediction reflects Boston’s regular-season dominance, depth, and defensive efficiency. They finished with the league’s best record and boast a healthy, star-studded roster featuring Tatum, Jaylen Brown, and Kristaps Porziņģis.
The Knicks, on the other hand, arrive battle-tested. After grinding through a physical first-round series, Jalen Brunson has solidified himself as one of the league’s premier playoff performers, averaging over 35 points per game in his last three contests. But injuries loom—Julius Randle remains out for the season, and OG Anunoby’s health is a question mark entering Game 1.
Expert Analysis:
While Boston clearly has the edge on paper, playoff basketball isn’t played by algorithms—it’s decided by pace, poise, and pressure.
- Boston’s Edge: The Celtics are deeper, more rested, and elite on both ends of the floor. Derrick White’s two-way play, Al Horford’s leadership, and Tatum’s ability to close games make them a complete team.
- New York’s Hope: Brunson’s playoff poise, Josh Hart’s rebounding, and Tom Thibodeau’s gritty schemes give New York a fighting chance—especially if they can drag Boston into physical, low-scoring affairs.
- Key Matchup: Jalen Brunson vs. Jrue Holiday. Holiday is an elite perimeter defender, and how well he contains Brunson could determine how long this series lasts.
- X-Factor: Pay attention to Kristaps Porziņģis. The former Knick will be motivated, and his ability to space the floor against Mitchell Robinson and Hartenstein could tilt the matchup early.
Bottom Line:
The Celtics may be overwhelming favorites, but the Knicks aren’t walking into this series quietly. Game 1 could set the tone. If Boston dominates early, this could be a short series. But if Brunson steals one on the road, the Garden faithful will believe.
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